Nominations voting is from January 11-16, 2024, with official Oscar nominations introduced January 23, 2024. Closing voting is February 22-27, 2024. And at last, the 96th Oscars telecast will probably be broadcast on Sunday, March 10 and air reside on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT. We replace predictions by awards season, so preserve checking IndieWire for all our 2024 Oscar picks.
The State of the Race
As all the time, big-name administrators with big-budget initiatives get a advertising and marketing and consciousness raise on the highway to the Oscars. However festivals supply a vital leg up within the status division.
Sundance launched the acclaimed “Previous Lives” (A24) from rookie director Celine Song, a Korean-American playwright who spins an auto-fiction relationship triangle a couple of married skilled (Greta Lee) assembly her childhood sweetheart (Teo Yoo). The movie is a specialty smash and will comply with A24’s “The whole lot All over the place All at As soon as” into Oscar rivalry.
It’s common for a first-time director to get nominated and even to win: two stage-to-screen administrators completed that feat with Delbert Mann (“Marty,” 1955) and Sam Mendes (“American Magnificence,” 1999). Winner James L. Brooks got here from tv with “Phrases of Endearment” (1983), and film stars Robert Redford (“Unusual Folks,” 1980) and Kevin Costner (“Dances with Wolves” 1990) received directing Oscars their first time behind the digicam.
This season, “A Star is Born” director-star Bradley Cooper has an opportunity to land his first directing nod for “Maestro” (Netflix), wherein he directs himself as composer Leonard Bernstein. And Ben Affleck may rating the directing nomination denied him on Finest Image-winner “Argo,” though “Air” (Amazon/Warner Bros.) was neither as common or critically hailed — it grossed as a lot because it value ($90 million) on the worldwide field workplace. Nonetheless, older male Academy members are a ripe goal demo.
Cannes launched a number of veteran administrators into the race, together with “The Departed” Oscar-winner Martin Scorsese along with his gangster epic “Killers of the Flower Moon” (AppleTV+/Paramount), starring Leonardo DiCaprio, Robert DeNiro, and Lily Gladstone; and Todd Haynes, along with his weird truer-than-fiction “Could December” (Netflix) starring Julianne Moore and Natalie Portman. Haynes has but to land a directing Oscar nod. Rising from Cannes as a box-office hit is Wes Anderson’s “Asteroid Metropolis” (Focus), the auteur’s most accessible (and American) entry since “The Grand Budapest Resort,” which earned 9 nominations together with Image and Director and received 4 craft Oscars. Anderson wouldn’t thoughts one other crack at a Directing Oscar.
By no means-nominated British director Jonathan Glazer received the grand prize for German-language “Zone of Curiosity” (A24), a hard-hitting holocaust film starring Sandra Huller, who additionally toplines French director Justine Triet’s Palme d’Or profitable courtroom thriller “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon), which is about 50 % in English. The more and more worldwide Academy voters may push these films into rivalry in a number of classes, as they did “All Quiet on the Western Entrance,” “Parasite,” and “Drive My Automobile.”
Summer season films “Oppenheimer” (Common), a biopic starring Cillian Murphy, and Mattel toy-inspired comedy “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) are eschewing pageant launches in favor of intense advertising and marketing; directing nominees Christopher Nolan (“Dunkirk”) and Greta Gerwig (“Woman Fowl”) have by no means received the Oscar for Finest Directing.
Arising on the fall festivals is Denis Villeneuve’s sequel to “Dune: Half One” (Warner Bros.), starring Timothée Chalamet and Zendaya. Sequels and sci-fi are sometimes neglected at Oscar time, particularly when a 3rd movie is on the horizon, however whereas “Arrival” directing nominee Villeneuve was surprisingly neglected for director, the primary “Dune” entry garnered 10 nominations and 6 craft wins.
One other group of past-due Oscar nominees might be in rivalry for a directing win. After 4 directing nods, Ridley Scott has but to take house a statuette; this yr’s entry is bio-epic “Napoleon” (Apple Unique Movies/Sony Photos) starring Joaquin Phoenix and Vanessa Kirby. After three directing slots, Alexander Payne is again with Christmas film “The Holdovers” (Focus), rejoining his “Sideways” star Paul Giamatti.
Thrice-nominated for director, David Fincher places an murderer (Michael Fassbender) on the run in “The Killer” (Netflix). Michael Mann (“The Insider”) may also make a splash on the fall fests with Italian racing biopic “Ferrari” (Netflix), starring Adam Driver within the title function and Penélope Cruz as his spouse. Sofia Coppola (“Misplaced in Translation”) forged “Euphoria” star Jacob Elordi as Elvis reverse Cailee Spaeny (“Mare of Easttown”) in biopic “Priscilla” (A24) and Yorgos Lanthimos (“The Favorite”) rejoins Emma Stone in surrealistic sci-fi romance “Poor Issues” (Searchlight).
Additionally upcoming is a set of promising titles from auteurs never-nominated for director. Taika Waititi’s Michael Fassbender soccer comedy “Subsequent Aim Wins” (Searchlight) premieres at audience-friendly TIFF. Emerald Fennell’s portrait of the moneyed aristocracy “Saltburn” (Focus) stars Rosamund Pike, Jacob Elordi, and Carey Mulligan. Jeff Nichols’ motorbike odyssey “Bikeriders” (twentieth Century Studios) stars Tom Hardy and Austin Butler.
Mexico’s Michel Franco directs Oscar-winner Jessica Chastain (“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”) and Peter Sarsgaard in New York-set “Reminiscence,” which is looking for a purchaser. Italian director Luca Guadagnino’s “Challengers” (Amazon/MGM) is a tennis world romantic triangle starring Zendaya, Josh O’Connor, and Mike Faist. Reinaldo Marcus Inexperienced follows up “King Richard” with music biopic “Marley: One Love” (Paramount) starring British actor Kingsley Ben-Adir within the title function.
In his personal class is Oscar-winner Ethan Coen (“No Nation for Previous Males”), who directs caper comedy “Drive Away Dolls” (Focus) solo for the primary time with out brother Joel. Margaret Qualley and Beanie Feldstein play two ladies who run right into a band of inept criminals on the run.
Potential nominees are listed in alphabetical order; nobody will probably be deemed a frontrunner till we now have seen the movie.
Frontrunners
Ben Affleck (“Air”)
Wes Anderson (“Asteroid Metropolis”)
Martin Scorsese (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
Celine Music (“Previous Lives”)
Justine Triet (“Anatomy of a Fall”)
Contenders
Ethan Coen (“Drive Away Dolls”)
Bradley Cooper (“Maestro”)
Sofia Coppola (“Priscilla”)
Emerald Fennell (“Saltburn”)
David Fincher (“The Killer”)
Michel Franco (“Reminiscence”)
Greta Gerwig (“Barbie”)
Jonathan Glazer (“Zone of Curiosity”)
Luca Guadagnino (“Challengers”)
Reinaldo Marcus Inexperienced (“Marley: One Love”)
Todd Haynes (“Could December”)
Yorgos Lanthimos (“Poor Issues”)
Michael Mann (“Ferrari”)
Jeff Nichols (“Bikeriders”)
Christopher Nolan (“Oppenheimer”)
Alexander Payne (“The Holdovers”)
Ridley Scott (“Napoleon”)
Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Half Two”)
Taika Waititi (“Subsequent Aim Wins”)
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