Nominations voting is from January 11-16, 2024, with official Oscar nominations introduced January 23, 2024. Ultimate voting is February 22-27, 2024. And eventually, the 96th Oscars telecast shall be broadcast on Sunday, March 10 and air reside on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT. We replace predictions by way of awards season, so hold checking IndieWire for all our 2024 Oscar picks.
The State of the Race
Half of the Best Original Screenplay winners from the previous decade premiered at a competition that happens through the first six months of the yr, so film-goers are most likely extra knowledgeable than they suppose when confronted with predicting which of this yr’s scripts may win the Oscar.
Taking a look at what performed at Sundance, which frequently units the tone for what to anticipate of the yr’s arthouse releases, Celine Song’s “Previous Lives” was an immediate hit that has solely been strengthened by a profitable platform launch going into the summer season. And it serves for example of how properly the competition did spotlighting feminine writer-directors this yr, with A.V. Rockwell successful the Grand Jury Prize for her affecting characteristic debut “A Thousand and One,” Maryam Keshavarz’s dramedy “The Persian Model” successful each the Viewers Award and the Waldo Salt Screenwriting Award, and Chloe Domont’s provocative thriller “Truthful Play” being the first big acquisition out of Sundance 2023. The movies have been acquired by A24, Focus Options, Sony Footage Classics, and Netflix, respectively, which all earned Screenplay Oscar nominations this yr, with A24 specifically successful this class for “Every little thing All over the place All at As soon as.”
Talking of the Finest Image winner helmed by Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, its SXSW premiere final yr cemented the Texas movie competition as a substitute vacation spot for launching awards fare early within the yr. Ben Affleck’s “Air” hopes to proceed that momentum, with the filmmaker, himself a Finest Unique Screenplay winner, producing and advocating for Alex Convery’s script concerning the origin of Michael Jordan’s historic cope with Nike, discovered on the 2021 Black Checklist.
When it comes to Oscar favourite auteurs stepping again into the unique screenplay race, the principle candidate most audiences have seen to this point is Wes Anderson’s “Asteroid City,” co-conceived with frequent collaborator Roman Coppola, and thought of by many to be a return to kind for the three-time nominee, final acknowledged for his “The Grand Budapest Lodge” screenplay in 2015. The movie premiered at Cannes this yr alongside fellow main contenders “Anatomy of a Fall,” which received the Palme D’Or and was written by director Justine Triet and Arthur Harari, and “Might December,” a brand new Todd Haynes movie written by Samy Burch and Alex Mechani.
A few of the recognized portions set to be launched later this yr are “Rustin,” written by Oscar winner Dustin Lance Black and Alex Mechanik, “Saltburn” from latest Oscar-winning writer-director Emerald Fennell, “Drive-Away Dolls” written and directed by four-time Oscar winner Ethan Coen and his spouse Tricia Cooke (an ACE Award-nominated editor), and at last “Maestro” from Oscar-winning screenwriter Josh Singer and nine-time nominee Bradley Cooper.
Extra potential nominees are certain to seem quickly although, as fall festivals announce their movie lineups.
Contenders are listed in alphabetical order beneath. No actor shall be deemed a frontrunner till I’ve seen the movie.
Frontrunners:
Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola (“Asteroid Metropolis”)
Alex Convery (“Air”)
Chloe Domont (“Truthful Play”)
A.V. Rockwell (“A Thousand and One”)
Celine Track (“Previous Lives”)
Contenders:
Dustin Lance Black and Julian Breece (“Rustin”)
Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik (“Might December”)
Ethan Coen and Tricia Cooke (“Drive-Away Dolls”)
Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer (“Maestro”)
Sean Durkin (“The Iron Claw”)
Emerald Fennell (“Saltburn”)
Arthur Harari and Justine Triet (“Anatomy of a Fall”)
David Hemingson (“The Holdovers”)
Justin Kuritzkes (“Challengers”)
David Scarpa (“Napoleon”)
Lengthy Photographs:
Zach Baylin, Frank E. Flowers, and Terence Winter (“Bob Marley: One Love”)
Cherry Chevapravatdumrong, Teresa Hsiao, and Adele Lim (“Pleasure Trip”)
Gareth Edwards and Chris Weitz (“The Creator”)
John Hoberg, Brenda Hsueh, Kat Likkel, and Peter Sohn (“Elemental”)
Maryam Keshavarz (“The Persian Model”)
Angus MacLachlan (“A Little Prayer”)
Jon Raymond and Kelly Reichardt (“Displaying Up”)
Stefani Robinson (“Chevalier”)
Alice Rohrwacher (“La Chimera”)
Takuma Takasaki and Wim Wenders (“Good Days”)
