“IF” (Paramount) could have fallen wanting its anticipated $40 million opening, however the glass is at the very least half-full. Preview and preliminary numbers steered it may find yourself round $28 million; as an alternative, its preliminary estimate is $35 million.
That enchancment, together with its A Cinemascore, suggests a film that might stick round. It could be an actual enhance for the reason for unique non-franchise manufacturing. Domestic on “IF” is best than international, which stands at $24 million, $20 million from this weekend. That places it at $59 million worldwide.
The full weekend is projected to hit $99 million. If that turns into $100 million, it might mark the primary time since Easter. By comparability, 2023 noticed each weekend from April 7 by way of mid-August hit that stage. In 2019, with considerably decrease ticket costs, that was the case from post-Super Bowl by way of Labor Day.
Any constructive information is welcome. We are three weeks into summer season playtime and now have three new releases — together with “The Fall Guy” (Universal) and “Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (Disney) — setting an uneven tempo. Through the weekend, May grossed round $340 million; final May totaled a bit of underneath $800 million. Next week “Furiosa” (Warner Bros.) and “The Garfield Movie” (Sony) over Memorial Day will enhance issues, however in all probability not sufficient to fulfill expectations for the month. Through this weekend, yr thus far is 21 p.c off final yr.
“The Fall Guy” held up higher in its third weekend, with a 38 p.c drop for fourth place with about $8.5 million. That places the $130 million-budget movie at $63 million home, which can get it to $80 million-$85 million complete, perhaps double that worldwide. Short of expectations, however not a catastrophe.
The second weekend of “Apes” dropped 55 p.c with $26 million. That’s not an uncommon fall, significantly towards a viable new opener. It is at $101 million home. Against its $160 million price range, it ought to be a gentle success however not a breakout.
“The Strangers: Chapter 1” (Lionsgate), first of a horror trilogy directed by motion veteran Renny Harlin, took third place with $12 million. The low-budget ($9 million) movie did much better than “Back to Black,” the Amy Winehouse biopic made by Studio Canal and launched by Focus within the U.S. It reached #5, however with weak evaluations solely managed round $2.9 million.
Playing solely in IMAX theaters, “The Blue Angels” (MGM Amazon), the documentary on the navy aviation unit grossed $1.3 million in solely 225 theaters. Even extra spectacular, it performed solely partial reveals at most theaters (with “Apes” additionally on IMAX screens).
“Challengers” (MGM Amazon), concurrent with its PVOD launch, dropped solely 33 p.c at #6 and now stands at $43 million.
SXSW breakout comedy “Babes” (Neon) is the only first- or second-week specialised launch to report grosses. Opening in 12 theaters in 5 cities, the surprising being pregnant story opened to a decent $171,000, or about $14,000 per theater. Its six New York/Los Angeles dates averaged round $20,000. It expands nationwide this Friday.
The Top 10
1. IF (Paramount) NEW – Cinemascore: A; Metacritic: 46; Est. price range: $110 million
$35,000,000 in 4,041 theaters; PTA (per theater common): $8,661; Cumulative: $35,000,000
2. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (Disney) Week 2; Last weekend #1
$26,000,000 (-55%) in 4,075 (no change) theaters; PTA: $6,380; Cumulative: $101,240,000
3. The Strangers: Chapter 1 (Lionsgate) NEW – Cinemascore: C; Metacritic: 44; Est. price range: $9 million
$12,000,000 in 2,856 theaters; PTA: $4,202; Cumulative: $12,000,000
4. The Fall Guy (Universal) Week 3; Last weekend #2
$8,450,000 (-38%) in 3,845 (-163) theaters; PTA: $2,198; Cumulative: $62,980,000
5. Back to Black (Focus) NEW – Cinemascore: 43; Metacritic: B+
$2,850,000 in 2,010 theaters; PTA: $1,518; Cumulative: $2,850,000
6. Challengers (Amazon MGM) Week 4; Last weekend #3; additionally on PVOD
$2,941,000 (-33%) in 1,938 (-671) theaters; PTA: $1,418; Cumulative: $43,510,000
7. Tarot (Sony) Week 3; Last weekend #4
$2,000,000 (-41%) in 2,334 (-770) theaters; PTA: $857; Cumulative: $15,433,000
8. Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (Warner Bros.) Week 8; Last weekend #5; additionally on PVOD
$1,710,000 (-35%) in 1,773 (-758) theaters; PTA: $964; Cumulative: $194,405,000
9. The Blue Angels (Amazon MGM) NEW
$1,311,000 in 225 theaters; PTA: $5,774; Cumulative: $1,311,000
10. Unsung Hero (Lionsgate) Week 4; Last weekend #6
$1,095,000 (-57%) in 1,736 (-536) theaters; PTA: $631; Cumulative: $19,069,000
Other specialised/impartial titles
Films (restricted, expansions of restricted) are listed by week in launch, beginning with these opened this week; after the primary three weeks, solely movies with grosses over $5,000 are listed. Metacritic scores and preliminary movie festivals recorded.
Babes (Neon) NEW – Metacritic: 73; Festivals embrace: South by Southwest 2024
$171,321 in 12 theaters; PTA: $14,277
I Saw the TV Glow (A24) Week 3
$1,002,000 in 469 (+448) theaters; Cumulative: $1,482,000
Wildcat (Oscilloscope) Week 3 12
$139,010 in 101 (+89) theaters; Cumulative: $279,497
Evil Does Not Exist (Sideshow/Janus) Week 3
$128,500 in 103 (+69) theaters; Cumulative: $351,403
The Round Up (Blue Fox) Week 4
$92,917 in 34 (-19) theaters; Cumulative: $885,070
Aggro Dr1ft (EDGRLD) Week 4 (non-consecutive) 20
$ in theaters; Cumulative: (est.) $120,000 +
Civil War (A24) Week 6
$1,050,000 in 1,192 (-1,092) theaters; Cumulative: $67,275,000
Wicked Little Letters (Sony Pictures Classics) Week 7
$81,896 in 132 (-388) theaters; Cumulative: $4,813,000
La Chimera (Neon) Week 8
$18,000 in 20 (-15) theaters; Cumulative: $806,639
