Nominations voting is from January 11-16, 2024, with official Oscar nominations introduced January 23, 2024. Remaining voting is February 22-27, 2024. And eventually, the 96th Oscars telecast will likely be broadcast on Sunday, March 10 and air stay on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT. We replace predictions via awards season, so preserve checking IndieWire for all our 2024 Oscar picks.
The State of the Race
From in entrance, the principle topic of dialog in regards to the upcoming Best Actor Oscar race is Leonardo DiCaprio, star of the long-awaited Martin Scorsese movie “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Unique Movies/Paramount Footage). All through the movie’s prolonged growth, it was unclear whether or not “The Revenant” actor was the lead of the movie, or in a supporting position (Jesse Plemons’ FBI man performs a extra outstanding position within the David Grann bestseller). However the 2023 Cannes Movie Pageant premiere clarified that DiCaprio, a Greatest Actor winner in 2016, goes to be a lead contender within the class.
Nonetheless, there’s a lot to come back. On one finish, biopics “Maestro” (Netflix), “Rustin” (Netflix) and “Napoleon” (Apple Unique Movies/Sony Footage) are constructed across the lead performances of Bradley Cooper, Colman Domingo, and Joaquin Phoenix, respectively. On the opposite finish, it’s nonetheless unclear the place the actors in “Challengers” (MGM), “Poor Issues” (Searchlight Footage), and “The Bikeriders” (twentieth Century Studios) will land.
At movie competition premieres within the first half of the 12 months, previous Oscar nominee David Strathairn (“Good Night time, and Good Luck”) broke out at Sundance in household drama “A Little Prayer,” which Sony Footage Classics will hope to comply with the “Dwelling” route that took Invoice Nighy to an Oscar nomination. Alden Ehrenreich, star of “Truthful Play” (Netflix), additionally made waves as one half of the buzziest acquisition out of the January competition. Although “Previous Lives” is already a uncommon impartial field workplace success story, A24’s problem is to push Korean star Teo Yoo into awards dialog, however wherein class? (His co-star John Magaro is extra clearly a Supporting Actor contender.)
Was “All the pieces All over the place All at As soon as” making SXSW an Oscar launchpad an anomaly, or can Amazon Studios comply with the development by pushing “Air” star Matt Damon as a Greatest Actor contender? (He has scored three appearing nominations.) The film earned a 73 Metascore and was a field workplace disappointment in relation to value, however performed effectively to an older (male) demo.
Clearly, the extra established Cannes was the larger launching pad for attainable awards hopefuls like Christian Friedel of “The Zone of Curiosity” (A24”), Josh O’Connor of “La Chimera” (Neon), and Kôji Yakusho of “Good Days” (Neon).
Wanting ahead, Cillian Murphy is due for a breakout enjoying the titular position in Christopher Nolan’s “Oppenheimer” (Common Footage), a probable summer season blockbuster. Given the success of music biopics like “Bohemian Rhapsody” and “Elvis,” Kingsley Ben-Adir appears primed for a serious awards marketing campaign as effectively, because the star of Reinaldo Marcus Inexperienced’s “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Footage).
With extra information about fall festivals being launched each day, previous Oscar nominees Adam Driver and Paul Giamatti will use the respective premieres of “Ferrari” (STX Leisure) and “The Holdovers” (Focus Options) as a possibility to go one other spherical. However this can be Michael Fassbender’s huge 12 months, with Taika Waititi’s “Subsequent Objective Wins” (Searchlight Footage) already pegged as a TIFF crowdpleaser and world premiere, and David Fincher’s “The Killer” (Netflix) up subsequent.
Contenders are listed in alphabetical order, beneath. No actor will likely be deemed a frontrunner till we have now seen the movie.
Frontrunners:
Matt Damon (“Air”)
Leonardo DiCaprio (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
Alden Ehrenreich (“Truthful Play”)
David Strathairn (“A Little Prayer”)
Teo Yoo (“Previous Lives”)
Contenders:
Kingsley Ben-Adir (“Bob Marley: One Love”)
Gael García Bernal (“Cassandro”)
Bradley Cooper (“Maestro”)
Colman Domingo (“Rustin”)
Adam Driver (“Ferrari”)
Michael Fassbender (“The Killer”)
Christian Friedel (“The Zone of Curiosity”)
Paul Giamatti (“The Holdovers”)
Barry Keoghan (“Saltburn”)
Cillian Murphy (“Oppenheimer”)
Joaquin Phoenix (“Napoleon”)
John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”)
Lengthy Pictures:
Jay Baruchel (“Blackberry”)
Timothée Chalamet (“Dune: Half Two”)
Paul Dano (“Dumb Cash”)
Michael Fassbender (“Subsequent Objective Wins”)
Kelvin Harrison Jr. (“Chevalier”)
Joaquin Phoenix (“Beau Is Afraid”)
Jonathan Majors (“Journal Desires”)
Josh O’Connor (“La Chimera”)
Ben Platt (“Theater Camp”)
Kôji Yakusho (“Good Days”)
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